"I told them that I honestly believe this is going to be the bottom right here," Nebraska head coach Scott Frost said Saturday after his Huskers had been humbled by Michigan.
It almost has to be. It's hard for a Power 5 school to be beaten as badly as Nebraska was in the 56-10 loss. Per Football Study Hall's advanced box scores, the Wolverines had a 40.9-percentage-point edge over the Huskers in success rate. Fifty percent of Michigan's plays were "successful" based on down and distance, while just under 10 percent of Nebraska's were.
That was the second-largest margin of the week behind Miami's 48.9 edge over FIU. It's also the second-largest gap between two Power 5 teams in a game this season. Only Ohio State's 48.0-percentage-point edge over Rutgers in Week 2 is larger.
Nebraska doesn't want to be keeping Rutgers company, so when Frost calls this the "bottom," it at least makes sense. It would be hard to know what lower would even look like.
So for the sake of posterity, let's note the baseline power rankings at this very moment, and see how far the loss to Michigan knocked the Huskers back.
Let's start with S&P+, which was high on Nebraska after one week. This week, however, brought the biggest drop of any team in the country. Via Bill Connelly:
It’s been like stages of grief with S&P+ and Nebraska. After the Huskers narrowly lost to Colorado in a game that played out on paper like a NU win, they rose quite a bit. Then they fell 17 spots following a discouraging loss to Troy. Then they fell 27 spots following the humiliation against Michigan. And based on what we saw last week, 73rd feels too high — there might be more falling to go.
The drop was less severe in the Sagarin ratings –– from 66th to 77th –– and less severe again in the Massey ratings, a drop of seven spots, though the Huskers are now 88th in the latter (one spot behind Illinois).
How does all of that compare to where this staff started with this team? Below are this week's rankings alongside 2017's year-end rankings.
|Rating||2018 Week 4||2017 Final|
* Nebraska's ranking going into the Michigan game.
Just how did Nebraska end up in this spot? That's going to take a while to unpack, but I expect it to be a popular topic this week.
The Grab Bag
- Nebraska volleyball went 2-0 against the state of Michigan over the weekend with a 3-1 win over Michigan State on Sunday.
- Jacob Padilla did the dirty work of going back through the Nebraska-Michigan game film.
- Recruiting analyst Greg Smith looks at the biggest position needs for Nebraska in the 2019 class.
- Nebraska basketball picked up its first commitment for 2019.
Today's Song of Today